VEHICLE BUYER'S GUIDE

Lexus ES20022026

Year-by-year buyer intelligence from NHTSA safety data — reliability, value, and which years to target or avoid.

🏅 LUXURY
Lexus ES
20022026
B
Defect Risk
Recall intensity
1.2/yr · seg. median 0.0
Safety
Low
0 inj.
No open federal investigations
36
Recalls
0
Complaints
2021
Best Yr
0
Injuries
Avoid 2007
25
Years Analyzed
36
Total Recalls
0
Total Complaints
0
Reported Injuries
0
Reported Deaths

Best Years to Buy a Lexus ES

Buyer Score combines reliability (65%) and depreciation value (35%) — higher is better.

#1 PICK5yr old
2021
Strong Buy · 80/100
Reliability76/100
Value window88/100
Recalls1
Complaints0
#2 PICK4yr old
2022
Strong Buy · 79/100
Reliability76/100
Value window85/100
Recalls1
Complaints0
#3 PICK3yr old
2023
Strong Buy · 77/100
Reliability76/100
Value window78/100
Recalls1
Complaints0

Lexus ES Years to Avoid

#1 WORST
2007

3 recalls · 0 complaints

Top issue: No complaints on record

#2 WORST
2008

3 recalls · 0 complaints

Top issue: No complaints on record

#3 WORST
2009

3 recalls · 0 complaints

Top issue: No complaints on record

Federal Defect Investigations

NHTSA investigations are the stage that precedes a recall. 2 past investigations into the ES became recalls.

Recently concluded investigations
DP22005 · electrical system · closed Aug 2023→ Became recall

Source: NHTSA Office of Defects Investigation. Data current as of September 12, 2026.

Lexus ES — Year-by-Year Comparison

Every model year ranked by Buyer Score. Click any year for its detailed problem report.

YearRecallsComplaintsInjuriesDeathsReliabilityValueBuyer ScoreVerdict
202600
81
40
67
Excellent
202510
76
55
69
Good
202410
76
68
73
Good
202310
76
78
77
Good
202210
76
85
79
Good
202110
76
88
80
Good
202020
61
87
70
Avoid
201920
61
83
69
Avoid
201810
76
77
76
Good
201710
76
70
74
Good
201610
76
63
71
Good
201510
76
56
69
Good
201410
76
50
67
Good
201310
76
45
65
Good
201220
61
41
54
Avoid
201120
61
38
53
Avoid
201030
56
38
50
Avoid
200930
56
38
50
Avoid
200830
56
38
50
Avoid
200730
56
38
50
Avoid
200600
81
38
66
Excellent
200520
61
38
53
Avoid
200410
76
38
63
Good
200300
81
38
66
Excellent
200220
61
38
53
Avoid

Buyer Score = Reliability (65%) + Value window (35%). Deaths and injuries sourced from NHTSA complaint filings. Year links open full NHTSA problem reports.

Shopping by Era

How each generation of the ES compares — best year within each era shown.

2018–Present

Modern safety tech, refreshed platforms, updated powertrains. Higher purchase price but lower reliability risk. Best pick in this era: 2021 (Buyer Score 80).

Best: 2021

2013–2017

Mid-decade models in the depreciation sweet spot — typically 35–55% below original MSRP. Inspect carefully for powertrain wear and recall completion. Best: 2017 (Buyer Score 74).

Best: 2017

Pre-2013

Older ES models are deeply depreciated but carry higher wear and repair risk. High mileage is common. Always get a pre-purchase inspection and verify full recall history.

Proceed with Caution

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best year ES to buy?+

The 2021 Lexus ES scores highest on our Buyer Score (80/100) — combining a reliability score of 76/100 with a value score of 88/100. It has 1 recall and 0 NHTSA complaints on record.

Which ES years have the most problems?+

The 2007, 2008, 2009 model years have the highest problem scores in our analysis. The 2007 ES leads with 3 recalls and 0 owner complaints.

What is the Buyer Score?+

The Buyer Score is a composite metric that combines reliability (65% weight) and depreciation value (35% weight). Reliability reflects recall and complaint severity. Value reflects how much of the vehicle's depreciation has already been absorbed by prior owners — a 4–6 year old vehicle typically sits in the sweet spot.

What are the most common ES problems?+

See the complaint chart on this page for a breakdown by component.

Deep-Dive Research

Found the right year? Verify the specific car.

A buyer's guide shows model-level risk. A VIN report shows the individual vehicle — accidents, odometer history, open recalls, and auction records.

Run a VIN Check →