VEHICLE BUYER'S GUIDE

Lexus ES20022026

Year-by-year buyer intelligence from NHTSA safety data — reliability, value, and which years to target or avoid.

TOP PICK
2022
Buyer Score 87/100
25
Years Analyzed
39
Total Recalls
1738
Total Complaints
232
Reported Injuries
4
Reported Deaths

Best Years to Buy a Lexus ES

Buyer Score combines reliability (65%) and depreciation value (35%) — higher is better.

#1 PICK4yr old
2022
Strong Buy · 87/100
Reliability88/100
Value window85/100
Recalls1
Complaints13
Top issue: FORWARD COLLISION AVOIDANCE: AUTOMATIC EMERGENCY BRAKING
#2 PICK5yr old
2021
Strong Buy · 86/100
Reliability85/100
Value window88/100
Recalls1
Complaints28
Top issue: AIR BAGS
#3 PICK3yr old
2023
Strong Buy · 85/100
Reliability89/100
Value window78/100
Recalls2
Complaints5
Top issue: ELECTRICAL SYSTEM:ALTERNATOR/GENERATOR/REGULATOR

Lexus ES Years to Avoid

#1 WORST
2007

3 recalls · 415 complaints

59 reported injuries

Top issue: AIR BAGS

#2 WORST
2008

3 recalls · 167 complaints

18 reported injuries

Top issue: AIR BAGS

#3 WORST
2004

2 recalls · 141 complaints

23 reported injuries

Top issue: POWER TRAIN:AUTOMATIC TRANSMISSION

Lexus ES — Year-by-Year Comparison

Every model year ranked by Buyer Score. Click any year for its detailed problem report.

YearRecallsComplaintsInjuriesDeathsReliabilityValueBuyer ScoreVerdict
202600
85
40
69
Excellent
202512
80
55
71
Excellent
202425
87
68
80
Excellent
202325
89
78
85
Excellent
2022113
88
85
87
Excellent
2021128
85
88
86
Excellent
20203186
82
87
84
Excellent
20192344
82
83
82
Excellent
20182113
88
77
84
Excellent
20171174
89
70
82
Excellent
2016117
91
63
81
Excellent
20151272
89
56
77
Excellent
20141412
87
50
74
Excellent
201315516
82
45
69
Good
20121729
83
41
68
Good
201111098
81
38
66
Good
20103914
79
38
65
Good
2009490114
43
38
41
Good
2008316718
72
38
60
Caution
2007341559
64
38
55
Avoid
20060426
91
38
72
Excellent
2005212516
78
38
64
Good
2004214123
75
38
62
Caution
2003010117
84
38
68
Good
2002111224
79
38
65
Good

Buyer Score = Reliability (65%) + Value window (35%). Deaths and injuries sourced from NHTSA complaint filings. Year links open full NHTSA problem reports.

Known Lexus ES Problems

Most frequently reported components across all model years, from NHTSA owner complaints.

AIR BAGS
582
VEHICLE SPEED CONTROL
209
UNKNOWN OR OTHER
99
POWER TRAIN:AUTOMATIC TRANSMISSION
92
ELECTRICAL SYSTEM
73
STRUCTURE:BODY
59
POWER TRAIN
52
SERVICE BRAKES
48

Complaint counts across all model years. Numbers indicate frequency, not severity.

Shopping by Era

How each generation of the ES compares — best year within each era shown.

2018–Present

Modern safety tech, refreshed platforms, updated powertrains. Higher purchase price but lower reliability risk. Best pick in this era: 2022 (Buyer Score 87).

Best: 2022

2013–2017

Mid-decade models in the depreciation sweet spot — typically 35–55% below original MSRP. Inspect carefully for powertrain wear and recall completion. Best: 2017 (Buyer Score 82).

Best: 2017

Pre-2013

Older ES models are deeply depreciated but carry higher wear and repair risk. High mileage is common. Always get a pre-purchase inspection and verify full recall history.

Proceed with Caution

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best year ES to buy?+

The 2022 Lexus ES scores highest on our Buyer Score (87/100) — combining a reliability score of 88/100 with a value score of 85/100. It has 1 recall and 13 NHTSA complaints on record.

Which ES years have the most problems?+

The 2007, 2008, 2004 model years have the highest problem scores in our analysis. The 2007 ES leads with 3 recalls and 415 owner complaints.

What is the Buyer Score?+

The Buyer Score is a composite metric that combines reliability (65% weight) and depreciation value (35% weight). Reliability reflects recall and complaint severity. Value reflects how much of the vehicle's depreciation has already been absorbed by prior owners — a 4–6 year old vehicle typically sits in the sweet spot.

What are the most common ES problems?+

The most frequently reported Lexus ES issues involve: AIR BAGS, VEHICLE SPEED CONTROL, UNKNOWN OR OTHER, POWER TRAIN:AUTOMATIC TRANSMISSION. These are aggregated across all model years from NHTSA owner complaint filings. Frequency of complaints does not necessarily indicate severity.

Deep-Dive Research

Found the right year? Verify the specific car.

A buyer's guide shows model-level risk. A VIN report shows the individual vehicle — accidents, odometer history, open recalls, and auction records.

Run a VIN Check →